Spread Eagles

Vegas says Southern Miss will beat ECU by 7. USA Today's Sagarin rating paints a worse picture.

Sagarin ranks the Eagles No. 48 with a rating of 74.55. It has the Pirates at No. 115 with a ranking of 59.21. After factoring home-field advantage, it has Southern Miss winning by 11.26. I suspect that whomever wins will do so by a round number.

The Pirates are 3-0 against the spread this season, but I think Vegas is on to them.